| Author | I think my Element drop rate is busted |
|---|
Reputation: 10
status: Grateful villagers collected the resources, and the royal bursar himself delivered them here.
You receive 68 gold, Fire crystal
Single
3/32
Double
1/32 |
Single
3/33
Double
1/33 |
| Since I have MG3 I got like 3 or 4 elements in 76 fights. ^^ |
Single
3/34
Double
1/34 |
Reputation: 10
status: Triumph! Keep it up, warrior! Here is your reward.
You receive 55 gold, Abrasive, Ice crystal
Single:
3/34
Double:
2/34 |
| I got 3 elements nearly in a row now, so I guess I'm out of this. |
Reputation: 10
status: We are pleased! Here's your reward.
You receive 964 gold, Witch bloom
Single
4/35
Double
2/35
Nutella, keep track ^^ Just because you get 3 in a row, doesn't mean your overall % is what it should be. |
Single
5/35
Double
2/35 |
it's all odds, your suppposed to get 1 element every 5 quests. But a coin can be heads 50 times in a row.
its not a 50 50 chance, its a 20% chance |
Single
5/36
Double
2/36 |
| 7 elements out of 36 quests = 19.44% rate of elements |
Single
5/37
Double
2/37
Corndog:
Forumla isn't computed that way as far as I understand.
In regards to double elements, not sure if that means that each time it is a "double roll" for the chance of getting 1 or 2 independently. If that is the case...the statistic is even more grim. As it would, essentially be 36 missions, but 72 "probability rolls" which would be 7/72.
Since I am not sure, I include them both in two seperate columns. |
Single
5/38
Double
2/38 |
Single
6/39
Double
2/39 |
| lol, you've been told many times it will even up in the end, and yet you are stubborn enough to waste your time.. 10 element in 39 quests, overkilling or what? |
| @limus: I didn't track it precisely, but in last 30 quest I got minimum 10 elements. Overall rate (this is precise): 398/64 |
| [Post deleted by moderator Zyanya // wrong info] |
Single
6/40
Double
2/40
hiddenshadow:
It isn't wasting my time. It is chronicling how the drops are dropping. Also, I do not believe that x% drop rate accounts for double elements, since from what I recall, the process is independent of that. It is a 'double roll' as some folks have mentioned. But I am not sure if the administration has ever come out and said exactly if the single/double element drops work together towards the overall element drop, or if the doubles are to be counted as "lucky" singles as I am beginning to suspect.
But if the chance for a double is in fact every single mission. Then the numbers are quite bad. |
Single:
6/41
Double
2/41 |
Single:
6/42
Double
2/42 |
