| Author | possible cheater |
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https://www.lordswm.com/pl_info.php?id=6906145
I've analyzed his recent battles and it seems that either he is INCREDIBLY lucky or somehow cheats
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560664724
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560669490
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560706733
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560659991
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560626665
he has only 3 luck, which means it's 30% chance to hit with a luck and the possibility should go lower as his units get lucky over and over again, but not for him.
Apart from that, special skills like stun/bear roar/fire wave is every second hit, I haven't seen something like this even on an elf with soldier's luck talent
I have played a fair amount of battles as Fire dwarf in CG (8 skill level), but I have never experienced this luck myself. Also, I have played a lot of battles in CG in general and I haven't seen anyone as lucky as this dwarf for more than 1-2 battles. |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560837125
again, around 75-80% of hits were lucky and with special creature skill |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560664724
rearguard ursary:
- 5 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 60% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560669490
beastslayers:
- 12 hits
- 4 luck
luck chance = 33.3% in this battle
punishers:
- 10 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 30% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560706733
rearguard ursary:
- 10 hits
- 4 luck
- 3 roar
luck chance = 40% in this battle
beastslayers:
- 10 hits
- 4 luck
- 3 stun
luck chance = 40% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560859691
beastslayers:
- 21 hits
- 7 luck
- 6 stun
luck chance = 33.3% in this battle
lava dragons:
- 11 hits
- 4 luck
luck chance = 36.6% in this battle
punishers:
- 16 hits
- 6 luck
luck chance = 37.5% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560659991
beastslayers:
- 6 hits
- 2 luck
- 2 stun
luck chance = 33.3% in this battle
punishers:
- 7 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 28.6% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560626665
beastslayers:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
- 3 stun
luck chance = 40% in this battle
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560837125
beastslayers:
- 10 hits
- 4 luck
- 3 stun
luck chance = 40% in this battle
rearguard ursary:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
- 2 bear roar
luck chance = 40% in this battle
this player consistently has over 30% luck in multiple battles on main stacks + insane amount of luck when it comes to special creature skills
I haven't counted morale, which triggers like crazy for him as well, but it's hard to calculate that, sometimes he has more morale triggers than tribal with 5 morale, while he has 1.
I did not count stacks which did less than 5 hits in a battle |
another battle, another insane percentage of luck
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560934714
beastslayers:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
- 2 stun
luck chance = 40% in this battle
harpooners - 50% luck
rearguard ursary - 50% luck
also, luck almost never triggers on retaliation, only when he hits someone |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1560941618
harpooners:
- 8 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 37.5% in this battle
beastslayers:
- 9 hits
- 3 luck
- 3 stun
luck chance = 33.3% in this battle
lava dragons:
- 6 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 50% in this battle |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1561302924
lava dragons:
- 6 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 50% in this battle
harpooners:
- 6 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 30% in this battle |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1561599233
punishers:
- 8 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 37.5% in this battle
harpooners:
- 6 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 33.3% in this battle
beastslayers:
- 5 hits
- 1 luck
luck only appeared when the stack was full, once it was destroyed (-40 units), luck magically stopped working
lava dragons:
- 8 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 37.5% in this battle |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1561589658
beastslayers:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
- 2 stun
luck chance = 40% in this battle
harpooners:
- 3 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 66.7% in this battle |
https://www.lordswm.com/war.php?lt=-1&warid=1561577796
punishers:
- 7 hits
- 3 luck
luck chance = 42.8% in this battle
lava dragons:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 40% in this battle
harpooners:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 40% in this battle |
luck only appeared when the stack was full, once it was destroyed (-40 units), luck magically stopped working
If this happens in most of the cases, then it might be a chance of hacking, else it's just how the game works. |
it's not how the game works:
> The probability of morale/luck triggers = F^(1+[moves befallen so far]-[moves not befallen so far]*F/(1-F)), whence F is Min(0.5;luck/10) or Min(0.5;morale/10), each stack having its own independent counters for morale and luck.
In general, troops are befallen with morale/luck according to its normal probability. In case if it hasn't trigger for several consecutive turns, the odds of getting it on the next turn increase each time, and vice versa. In a hypothetical experiment with infinite amount of triggering, the general probability is still equal to 10% per morale/luck point.
https://www.lordswm.com/about-game-luck-and-morale
the situation when luck is >30% (for 3 luck) is quite normal for a couple of battles at most, when this happens consequtively for large amount of battles 0 it's cheating |
harpooners:
- 5 hits
- 2 luck
luck chance = 40% in this battle
This is not how math works here , consider if you have 1 luck the probability increases with each successive move, with 1 luck the probability that luck triggers at least once in the first 5 moves is approximately 63%,you can't simply divide here 1/10 (the math is complex). |
this is why I did not do the calculation for a single battle, but for multiple ones
I suggest you read up on the probability theory, then add something to this discussion |
this is why I did not do the calculation for a single battle, but for multiple ones
Whatever bs calculation you have done is egregiously incorrect,i won't argue further. |
| closed by Beliar (2025-06-16 20:08:41) |
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