| Author | Roulette |
|---|
I have a method.**Lesser and safer profit adding method** But when you lose, it is going to be a big deal. (85% success)
Bet 1000 on 2nd and 3rd dozen each. then 500 in sixline 7-12. 85% you get 500 profit.
You can try higher denominations at your own risk.
PS. The roulette loss i have is because of an another trick not this :p
85% win rate is meaningless when your winnings are always so small by this method. If you keep repeating this trick, the probability of winning goes down.
First time it is 85%, then it drops to 72% and keeps lowering exponentially. Repeat 3 times and on the 4th try the probability will be very slightly above 50%. And all your winnings will be reversed by one loss at this turn if you repeat the method. |
at #39
where did you get the 85%?
i am calculating 78.9% with your method
3000*79=237k
2500*100=250k
so your method expects 13k(pluss some change) losses every 100 bets |
Oh I hadn't seen that post.
First of all, where are you getting 85% from?
There are 38 numbers equally likely to come, and you bet on 30 of them, so chance to win is 30/38 = 78.9% approx.
Second, let's say you bet 380 times(for ease of calculation), and each spin you bet 5 gold(2 gold on each dozen and 1 on the sixline, obviously I know that's not possible, but it's for the ease of calculation), then, out of 380 times, you are expected to win 300 times.
We also know, that if you win once, you get a payout of 6 gold, thus in 300 wins you get a return of 1800 gold, however in total you invest 380*5 = 1900
Thus, after 380 bets, if you had bet 5 gold each spin, you would lose a total of 100 gold.
So yeah, this trick obviously doesn't work :P
If you want more information behind mathematics in roulette, read this:
https://www.lordswm.com/forum_messages.php?tid=2460037 |
| Didn't see Sof's post while typing post 43. |
^not 85% but 83.3% if you consider 30/36.
For a gambler like myself, even/odd and red/black would be 50/50 because 0-00 is usually considered the exclusive result. It can be justified because people who are gambling have already assumed that perfect risk=reward turnout. Since your amount is doubled for a successful red/black, you can think the risk/reward was 50/50. In truth the roulette always wins because 0-00 exist that will make you lose all bets unless you specifically were betting on 0-00. |
| but even if 0-00 were not existent(although those numbers are the reason roulette wins) the the above method breaks even in the end.so nothing better than a waste of time. |
but even if 0-00 were not existent(although those numbers are the reason roulette wins) the the above method breaks even in the end.so nothing better than a waste of time.
Yes i agree. Its exactly what i meant to say although due the reason that i calculated probabilities using 85%, i got slightly above 50% odds of winning on 4th turn but actually it is less than 50% with 83.3% :)
This also means that, if you won 3 times with maximal bet (lets say you are a level 15 character and your maximal bet is 15000, you can bet 6k each on 2nd and 3rd dozen plus 3k on a sixline) you would have a profit of 3*(18k-15k) = 9k. On 4th bet, when you bet 15k the odds of winning are below 50% therefore you have a considerable chance to have lost i.e. 6k more than what you started with (15k-9k).
I think you could always lower your bets each time you win starting with maximal bet but then that is still another game of betting and probabilities which will end in roulette's favor the moment a 0-00 shows up. |
Well, to summarize, without 0 and 00 you would end up being equally likely to win or lose, and end up with probably a small profit/loss, but with 0 and 00 in the long run you would definitely end up with a loss no matter what "trick" you use :P
Good luck nonetheless! ^^ |
| no name thx alot i love your ur method is making me rich :D |
no name thx back
not a nice method lost my money D: |
for chikish:
Lol thanks for proving my post(43) xD |
haha i knew lady sof will come and bash me xD
roulette is the thing that keeps me interested in this game so let me believe in the theories however vain may they be :P |
| She's just a bit nervous because of her loss in roulette. Can't be lucky both in tavern and roulette I guess! |
So, I have made my last bet on this ID :P
Going to leave this one for sometime and make a new one :D
Take care, tata, bye bye |
for Awesome 13:
So you lost 132k :(
I and sofiouta warned you. |
for randomr1:
you lost 2.8 million. I warned you. |
| Lol... but I am not leaving my acc, I expected that :P |
Lol... but I am not leaving my acc, I expected that :P
Well I know that, but what can I do, anyways my account wasn't that built up so it's okay. :P |
