| Author | Element as reward for MG |
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| There should be a 20% chance of receiving an element as a reward for successful MG quest . That means 1 successful quest out of 5 should be rewarding an element. From 18th September I resumed playing and out of 18, not even one rewarded an element. Have the rules changed? Please let me know |
| no, your case have 1.8% chance of happening. rare occurrence but still can happen. |
| I got one as soon as you said , But why is it 1.8% only in my case? |
Bro its probability
its even possible that even if its 20% u can still lose 1000 in row |
| you will just get a lot of them in a row at some point of time,keep playing |
https://www.lordswm.com/forum_messages.php?tid=1871478&page=0
Check first post and last pages. |
you will just get a lot of them in a row at some point of time,keep playing
Yeah this can happen but not sure,
its all maths bro ^^ |
That means 1 successful quest out of 5 should be rewarding an element.
On average, yes. It's just a way of saying 20% chance. It is not guaranteed though. Sometimes it will be 0 out of 5, or even out of 20, or 100 - should be unlucky enough. But sometimes it will be 5 out of 5, or 10 out of 10. If it would be fixed, guaranteed or stable, we wouldn't call it a probability anymore.
Your sample size of 18 is not big enough to get worried. For example, you may have streaks of 18 games where you receive 10 elements. Just keep playing and it will even out in time.
And just as Slust suggested, check what has been posted on that topic last pages and you will see that people with a larger number of games are indeed settling at around 20% probability. |
| Google "Law of large numbers". ;) |
| I have recieved 87 elements from the past 467 quests so 18.6% pretty close |
| Ok thanks 👍 |
| If you are wondering what 👍 is, it is because I forgot that the game does not support emoticons. |
| closed by Veer_K (2017-09-22 05:25:41) |
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