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   Forums-->Queries and help-->

Authorwhy am i not getting elements?
since 10-11 quests i havent received any element, b4 i used to get meteorite shards and toadstools quite often bt as my merc is developin the occurence of elements is decreasing.

it is i think 12 quests b4 i received a viper venom.....

i hear tht chances are 20% to receive an element but then how is this happenening to me?
nah its not 20%, after many caculations by Kotrin ( thank you :P ) and many others its actually lower....
20% doesnt mean every 5th quest gives an element. It evens out in a long run. Actually according to limustudotcom it is 20%. But there are black periods.
Assuming 20% is correct, no elements for 10 quests in a row isn't statistically low. The chance of such an outcome is 10% (this is assuming you don't pick and choose you unlucky streaks).
Simple maths. As long as the chance of you getting an element isn't 100%, you could do an indefinite number of quests without getting a single element drop. We don't know the exact chance of getting an element drop, and even if it was around 20% it's still not too strange for you not to not get an element for 12 quests in a row. Just bad luck :)
Dude i am not getting an element for atleast 25 battles now . So it's no big deal
b4 i used to get meteorite shards and toadstools quite often

So, actually you are complaining that you are getting to many elements? Since you did get more than 20% of the quest elements. What should we do? Punish you for being luck?
no i meant 2 say tht i used to get many elemts b4 bt rarely now.
See my profile. I have been tracking my elements for a long time. My longest streak without getting one is over 40, but im still averaging about 20%. It works out in the long run. Be patient.
k tnx.
closed by virtual_vitrea (2010-10-08 23:22:35)
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