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Ambushing probability



AuthorAmbushing probability
Hi,

Has anyone an idea of the probability to ambush a player, instead of a caravan?
I made some fast calculations; on my last 5 log pages, out of 123 ambushes, 17 where players being ambushed.
Does 10 to 15% to ambush a player seems to be a good estimate?

That is, without trying to influence triggering probability in anyway; these have almost all been made at random times, beetween YL and GC.
It depends on a lot of factors. But assuming random ambushing YL-GC, I get around 5-10%.
i ve tried ambushing from many places and of course the best place to ambush players is From Yellow Lake or to Yellow Lake because of the mercenarie Guild.

From Yellow lake i was like Pantheon, but from other place it s very low.
It depends on a lot of factors. But assuming random ambushing YL-GC, I get around 5-10%. unless you happen to..

then you can get 10 continuous and 16/18 (about 90%) chance in ambushing a player. :)

06-30-10 09:54[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Jeleuuk[13]
06-30-10 08:52[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs jap30[13]
06-30-10 06:53[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs ziu[13]
06-30-10 04:30[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Phase[13]
06-29-10 21:00[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Evgenich[13]
06-29-10 18:48[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Caravan of demons
06-29-10 17:18[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs nsr69[13]
06-29-10 15:37[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Bildukas[13], rions3[13]
06-29-10 10:49[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs nsr69[13]
06-29-10 10:15[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs -P3nnyw1se-[13]
06-29-10 09:56[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Jedi-Knight[13]
06-29-10 08:12[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Vigulfr[13]
06-29-10 06:43[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Bildukas[13]
06-29-10 03:07[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Phase[13]
06-29-10 02:04[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs vrancea[13]
06-28-10 20:14[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Sion[13], Jedi-Knight[13]
06-28-10 18:08[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Caravan of necromancers
06-28-10 09:13[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Jedi-Knight[13]
06-28-10 08:18[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs nsr69[13]


From my personal experience though, 5-15% sounds about right.
for Patrickou:
Location shouldn't really matter much. I wonder how you affected your ambush % on players.

for Jedi-Knight:
Cause he obviously wasn't doing random ambushing :p
Stalking does not equal random :D
#5 because i really prefer less exp so caravan. When i set from SH to ST, no player caught, any links?
When i set from SH to ST, no player caught, any links?
I wonder how much time you have to wait before to get a caravan...

06-29-10 09:56[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Jedi-Knight[13]
06-28-10 20:14[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Sion[13], Jedi-Knight[13]
06-28-10 09:13[Full] [Chat]: • darkelf84[13] vs Jedi-Knight[13]


I'll come to think that you like being ambushed :D :D
I wonder how much time you have to wait before to get a caravan...
On this route maybe for ages. Traveling between those 2 places has no sense so its really very rare to get caravan, only if some confused player travels there:)
...or if you gotta buy sell some reosrse or leather or somethnig or having a merc quest there
#5 because i really prefer less exp so caravan. When i set from SH to ST, no player caught, any links?
I also prefer caravans, but I fail to see how changing your ambush to that route would increase your caravan %. I see you increasing your ambush wait times. I already need up to 1.5 hours on the YL-GC route. Normally average wait time is over 30min, but recent weeks it has been under 30 min.
As far as I remember, the probability to get a player was announced 5%. Now, it depends on the size of the set on which that 5% has to be fulfilled and the time after this counter is reset if not fulfilled.
closed by Slust (2010-12-03 14:44:53)
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